Indonesia signs 156,000 kiloliters of biodiesel quota for 2025

Indonesia’s Energy and Mineral Resources Minister signed a decree on Friday allocating 15.6 million kiloliters of biodiesel for 2025 and asking the industry to adjust to a higher percentage of the blend by the end of next month. “The ministerial regulation has been signed,” Minister Bahlil Lahadalia told reporters, revealing that the government plans to increase the mandatory biodiesel ratio to 50 percent next year.

Eniya Listiani Dewi, a senior official at the Ministry of Health, said biodiesel producers and fuel retailers have until February 28 to adapt to the B40 blend. She cited technical challenges associated with fuel subsidies as the reason for the extension.

Of this year’s total allocation, KL7.55 million is for Public Service Obligation (PSO), covering areas such as public transportation, and sales will be subsidized by the country’s palm oil fund.

Translated with DeepL.com (free version)

DOE: SAF Mixing and Logistics Report Now Available

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), with support from the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO), recently released the report Sustainable Aviation Fuel Blending and Logistics.

The report, which is the result of ongoing collaboration between NREL researchers and aviation industry stakeholders, provides information and recommendations on effective petroleum jet fuel (Jet A) and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) quality standards, transportation and supply chain flows, and blending methods. Notably, the researchers determined that SAF could be blended with Jet A at existing terminals (which are already equipped with blending equipment, software, and staff) and delivered directly to airports, thereby increasing the efficiency of the entire SAF supply chain.

To meet the changing needs of the expanding SAF market, this report is a timely update to the 2021 NREL report, U.S. Airport Infrastructure and Sustainable Aviation Fuels. Since the release of that report, more SAF production facilities have come online and more members of the aviation industry have committed to using SAF to meet their environmental and sustainability goals.

Palm oil starts year with big drop, B40 delay is the trigger

Malaysian palm oil futures fell sharply on Thursday (Jan. 2) due to the delay of Indonesia’s B40 biodiesel program, which created uncertainty in the market and triggered a wave of selling.

Indonesia was scheduled to implement a higher percentage of mandatory biodiesel blending program (B40) on January 1, 2025, but the program was not implemented on schedule as industry participants are still waiting for the relevant technical regulations to be issued, leading to a blow to palm oil market sentiment.

Indonesia may slow down B40 implementation

The recent reversal of the upward trend in palm oil prices could affect Indonesia’s B40 biodiesel policy, which is scheduled to be introduced in January 2025, according to MAS. High palm oil prices have weakened Indonesia’s export competitiveness, leading to lower revenues from export taxes, a key source used to subsidize domestic biodiesel prices.

In response to this challenge, Indonesia may slow down the pace of implementation of the B40 policy to avoid an excessive shock to the market. This decision reflects the potential impact of high feedstock costs on the sustainability of the biodiesel policy and highlights the dilemma the government faces in balancing export revenue generation with the domestic energy transition.

Indonesia Biodiesel Program: 2025 B40, 2026 B50

The Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources, Balil Rahadarya, recently stated that the Government of Indonesia will not only emphasize the independence of oil and gas in achieving energy self-sufficiency, but will also vigorously promote the development of renewable energy. He emphasized that Indonesia aims to be a country that achieves independence in both conventional and renewable energy.

In line with President Prabowo Subianto’s Asta Cita vision for national development, the government is taking a number of strategic measures and plans to significantly increase renewable energy capacity over the next few years to support the global transition to cleaner and greener energy. Among them, a mandatory 40% biodiesel (B40) program will be implemented in 2025, followed by a B50 program in 2026, with the goal of reducing diesel imports and achieving energy independence.

In 2023, Indonesia’s biodiesel use reached 12.2 million kiloliters, with plans to increase to 12.5 million kiloliters by 2025. This move not only saves about US$7.9 billion in foreign exchange, but also adds Rp 15.82 trillion in value added by processing crude palm oil into biodiesel.

Minister Rahadaria placed special emphasis on the development of geothermal energy, which is expected to increase the share of renewable energy in the country’s energy mix to 14.1% by the end of 2024, with geothermal energy contributing 40%. Currently, geothermal power generation has made Indonesia the second largest geothermal power producer in the world, with an installed capacity of 2.6 GW.

In addition, the government is committed to increasing oil and gas extraction, optimizing energy block development, accelerating the penetration of electric vehicles, and improving energy efficiency. The Minister noted that cooperation with the private sector and communities was crucial to achieving national energy security. Through these comprehensive measures, Indonesia was on the path to stronger and more sustainable energy independence.

Driven by soaring biodiesel demand, Brazil is rapidly scaling up its soybean processing capacity

Brazil is significantly increasing its soybean processing capacity to meet biodiesel demand. Driven by the “Future Fuels” law, by 2027, the vegetable oil content of biodiesel will increase from 14% to 17%, driving a 34% surge in soybean oil demand. Biodiesel consumption is expected to increase from 9.3 billion liters in 2024 to 12.3 billion liters in 2027, underscoring its determination to promote clean energy and reduce dependence on fossil fuels. In order to secure the supply of soybean oil, the plant will expand its production capacity, while exports will be maintained at an average of 1 million tons per year, demonstrating the strategy of shifting to domestic consumption.

10% Tariff on CPO May Make Indonesian Exports Uncompetitive

The Jakarta Post reports that the Indonesian Palm Oil Association (Gapki) is expressing concerns over a new 10% levy on crude palm oil exports, up from the previous 7.5%. This increase is expected to significantly reduce exports. The higher levy is intended to fund subsidies for the B40 blending mandate set to take effect in January. However, with domestic production stagnating, the situation for exports is becoming even more challenging.

African airlines eye EU SAF requirements

The East African newspaper reports that African airlines are protesting the European Commission’s new regulations requiring them to use sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) when departing from European airports. They argue that the high cost of SAF could drive them out of business. Smaller carriers, such as Uganda Airlines and Air Tanzania, which are set to begin European operations in 2025, are expected to be the hardest hit. However, even larger airlines like Ethiopian Airlines and Kenya Airways are voicing concerns, calling for either exemptions from the rules or subsidies to offset the steep fuel prices.

Galp Energia to start producing biofuels by 2026

Portugal’s Galp Energia, which operates as an oil producer and refiner, expects to start producing biodiesel and biojet fuel from waste in an industrial-scale unit to be built at its Sinesh refinery in 2026, Reuters said on Thursday, citing a statement from the company.

Last year, Galp formed a joint venture with Japan’s Mitsui, each with a 75%-25% stake, to invest €400 million ($415 million) in a hydrogenated vegetable oil (HVO) plant with a capacity of 270,000 metric tons per year.

It will convert waste products such as waste cooking oil into renewable biodiesel and biojet fuel, also known as sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), using green hydrogen produced by electrolyzers powered by wind or solar energy.

European HVO Demand Drivers and Market Challenges by 2025

By 2025, Europe’s demand for Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil (HVO) or renewable diesel is expected to grow significantly, driven by two key factors:

1.Stricter Renewable Energy Mandates: Increased mandatory requirements for renewable energy use in the transportation sector are set to drive sustained demand for HVO.

2.Policy Changes in EU Member States: Adjustments to renewable fuel credit carryover regulations in countries like Germany and the Netherlands will provide new incentives for HVO market growth.

If announced expansion projects proceed as scheduled, European HVO production capacity could increase by over 400,000 tons by 2025. Most of the new facilities will have the flexibility to pivot towards the production of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), particularly Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (HEFA-SPK). This adaptability ensures readiness to meet shifting market demands.

However, businesses aiming to import HVO into the EU will face mounting challenges. The EU is set to impose final anti-dumping duties (ADD) on HVO and biodiesel originating from China by mid-February 2025. Similar duties, along with countervailing tariffs, are already in place for HVO and biodiesel from the United States and Canada, further restricting imports.

In contrast, the United Kingdom offers a different outlook. Following the removal of HVO tariffs in 2022, HVO produced in the United States can flow freely into the UK market, presenting new opportunities for American suppliers while intensifying competition in the region.

Overall, while the European HVO market is poised for significant growth by 2025, international trade policies and regional market disparities will present notable challenges for market participants.